After re-reading this comment about four years after writing it, I find myself astonished that my predictions are seeming to have been mostly correct or are at least en route, as far as I can perceive.
I should apply for a future-research thinktank as an external advisor
.
The next legislation period here in Austria will, from todays perspective and if there are no election-surprises, be the last for the grand coalition, the classical center left- and right parties. A few new parties have evolved, but what is more important is that we the people demand more participation in political decisions. There's a plan for a direct-democracy upgrade, although it will surely take up to another decade until the change in rule will really become noticeable.
On the other hand, I see nearly no chance that we will turn the other way and become a more leader-oriented country, even though there's an old man that goes campaigning with a 'Team Stronach' which is, in fact, a one-billionaire-man-show who has hired some political wannabes and just wants 'truth', 'transparency', and 'fairness', but his cast is a bunch of divas, and one could set up a countdown to implosion, I'd say it will be a question of months rather than years.
The right-wing parties have fucked it up big time (again), I won't go into detail, but their governmental brilliance in a federal state (where they suffered the biggest loss recorded in Austrian history at the spring elections) will cost the republic several billion €, how many exactly, the center-right finance minister will tell us after elections. If still in office, which I wouldn't bet much on. The far-right party changed their election goal from 'our chief will be chancellor' to 'let's defend the third place'.
The question of wealth imbalance is high on the agenda, not only in Austria, of course it's campaigning time, likewise in Germany, but the next governments will have trouble keeping a low-profile on that matter.
Reasonable financial-economic restrictions seems to be a tough one, and Britain is a little bit uncooperative (and snobby), but the European way to stabilize the economy, or I'd rather say the experiments to find a way, could work out fine. Of course, it will take some more years to be sure, but all in all, I continue to be optimistic.
Climate change has popped up in the middle of Austria with a long winter, a cold and wet spring with enormous floods, extreme heat and record temperatures (up to 40°C - in Austria!). Tourism cheers, farmers will demand compensations, and ventilators will soon be sold out. The climate-change-deniers will have a hard time, that' for sure, and the acceptance and application of renewable energy production will raise (even higher).
America is getting better slowly, but I've got very limited knowledge of oversea affairs. At least the Obama administration has not made it all worse. Only a few days ago I heard that they want so put a stop (or at least a limit) to the drone war soon. Yeah, a promise like closing down Guantanamo, I know, but at least they have good intentions (there's a saying in Austria: the opposite of well done is well intended
). And there seems to be at least a bit of re-thinking the whole war-on-drugs problem.
On the security issues, you are the expert, Harry, but no one ever pested me with anti-social behavior, if I discount the one who wanted to bestow me a book about some old prophet, and I use the net as it's intended to, as a source of information and a means of communication, not to report my whole life to the world (like those social-medialists), which isn't very interesting to any spies anyway.